Tottenham Hotspur · 2026/27 · For fun, not tips
Next up: Ipswich at home. After that, a title chance that looks a lot like being born an identical twin — and a few things that are still much rarer.
These are implied probabilities from the best decimal prices listed on Oddshub (Spurs 1.56, draw 4.72, Ipswich 6.11), checked on 12 November 2026. Raw implied chances add up to 101.7% because of the bookmakers’ margin. Dividing each by that total (removing the overround) gives 63.1% / 20.8% / 16.1%, shown rounded above. A thinner Polymarket market for the same game was close: 62.5% / 21.5% / 16.5%. Kick-off is from BBC Sport; 15:00 UK is 16:00 in Prague in November.
Source: BBC Sport table, last updated 9 November 2026 at 15:26 UK (16:26 Europe/Prague). Last result: 0–1 at Leeds on 7 November, which ended a three-game winning run.
From Polymarket, checked 12 November 2026 at 14:43 Europe/Prague (13:43 UTC). Title market: Yes priced at 0.4% (bid 0.3%, ask 0.5%), with about $1.57 million traded on Tottenham. Top 4: 12.65% mid-price (bid 11.7%, ask 13.6%). See the title market and top-four market.
Two current season simulations, each based on 10,000 run-throughs of the remaining fixtures, put Spurs’ title chance below 1% and top-four chance at only 2%. They disagree on relegation. I could not find a liquid Polymarket market that simply prices “Spurs to be relegated,” so that row is model-only.
Spurs winning the 2026/27 Premier League, at 0.4% (about 1 in 250), is roughly as likely as being born an identical twin — and about 50 times more likely than an amateur hole-in-one.
Each bar is the chance of that event. The scale is logarithmic: bars grow to the right, and every step to the right is ten times more likely.